Chapecoense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
CHA
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
GRE
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
COR
28%
27%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
ATP
64%
24%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
CHA
64%
23%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 4
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
CRZ
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |