Chapecoense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 0
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
50%
29%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FFL
59%
27%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
CHA
17%
27%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
AMF
22%
31%
47%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
OES
0 - 1
CON
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
OPE
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
CON
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |