Catarinense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Chapecoense vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 2
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
62%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 2
CAC
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
2 - 1
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAC
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |