Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-3
Chapecoense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
GRE
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
31%
29%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
COT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 1
AVA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
CEA
10%
20%
71%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |