Chapecoense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 0
ASA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 1
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
5 - 3
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 3
CEA
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
ICA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 1
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |