Chapecoense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 0
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAX
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |