Chapecoense vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAM
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAC
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
CAM
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |