Chapecoense vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
20%
23%
56%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
CHA
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEC
0 - 1
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
4 - 1
HER
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |