Chapecoense vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
LAN
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SBO
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 2
MET
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
4 - 1
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
3 - 2
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
TUB
78%
17%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 0
JEC
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |