Chapecoense vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SBO
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 0
LAN
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
VEL
60%
24%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
LAN
22%
26%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |