Chapecoense vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAM
81%
15%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
CHA
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
BRU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 1
FFL
15%
23%
63%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
JEC
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |