Chapecoense vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 1
CHA
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
JEC
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
4 - 0
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
BRU
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |