Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-2
Chapecoense vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
JEC
38%
25%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FFL
4 - 3
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
IMB
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CRI
2 - 2
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 3
BRU
57%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 2
BDF
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 3
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 1
BRA
38%
25%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |