Chapecoense vs Barra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRU
14%
23%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 1
BAR
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRU
20%
26%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |