Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
YPI
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
AFC
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
TOM
50%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
AVA
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
CEA
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 0
AVA
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |