Catarinense 1 Etapas finales Final
Global 2-3
Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAR
73%
20%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
77%
17%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
ECP
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
AVA
6%
14%
80%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |