Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
JUV
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUA
62%
24%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAM
68%
22%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 0
OPE
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OES
0 - 2
AVA
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 2
CUI
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
AVA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |