Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
8%
18%
75%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
TUB
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 4
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
TUB
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |