Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
TUB
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
7%
18%
76%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 3
AVA
16%
23%
62%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
TUB
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
2 - 3
AVA
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 2
CAC
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |