Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAX
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
CHA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHA
19%
26%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |