Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CHA
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 3
FFL
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
3 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |