Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 1
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLU
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
COT
3 - 4
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
PPE
3 - 2
ATP
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATP
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 0
ATP
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |