Chapecoense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEM
2 - 3
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 1
AMF
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 0
UBE
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
JEC
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 3
ATM
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |