Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-6
Chapecoense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 0
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 3
AVA
18%
22%
61%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
MET
3 - 2
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
DEM
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UBE
2 - 5
ATM
13%
20%
68%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 7
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 3
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |