Chapecoense vs Atletico Catarinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 1
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Catarinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 4
JEC
13%
20%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
HER
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |