Chapecoense vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
JUV
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
AMF
3 - 1
PPE
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AMF
0 - 1
FFL
71%
20%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 2
AMF
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
AMF
30%
31%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
AMF
14%
28%
58%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |