Chapecoense Sub 20 vs Cruzeiro Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
5 - 0
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAS
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 4
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CRU
0 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 0
CRU
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 1
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
5 - 1
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 1
AME
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |