Txantrea vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
14º
13º
36
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CDB
3 - 0
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
CDA
51%
22%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 1
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
CDA
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 0
SUB
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 0
OBE
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 0
VAL
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
OBE
45%
26%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
CAN
40%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |