Txantrea vs Cirbonero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
15º
0
13º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
4 | 73 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 60 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 58 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 45 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 40 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
PEÑ
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
HUA
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
SJU
15%
22%
63%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BID
3 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |