Chania vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LAM
3 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
OLP
6 - 0
CHA
92%
7%
1%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
ACH
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
OLP
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 82 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
PAN
3 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 0
ZAK
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 0
LAR
84%
13%
3%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
LAR
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 3
TRI
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |