Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
Chania vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
PAN
1 - 1
CHA
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
OLY
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAN
0 - 0
CHA
26%
27%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
FOK
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
IRA
2 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 0
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAO
2 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 2
ATR
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 0
CHA
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |