Chania vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
APS
3 - 1
CHA
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 0
CHA
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
TRA
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
KAL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
PAN
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
APS
3 - 1
CHA
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
APS
2 - 1
IRA
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
APS
1 - 1
PAN
83%
12%
4%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
APS
19%
26%
56%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
APS
1 - 0
KAL
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |