Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
YON
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOK
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
DAE
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 1
GYE
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ULS
1 - 0
GYE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GYE
2 - 1
YON
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MOK
0 - 1
GYE
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GYE
0 - 2
GAN
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |