Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
BUS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MOK
0 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 0
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
GAN
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
GYE
0 - 0
YON
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GYE
1 - 0
DAE
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
ULS
1 - 1
GYE
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GYE
3 - 2
BUS
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MOK
1 - 0
GYE
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |