Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
DEU
81%
13%
5%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
MOK
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
YON
1 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DAE
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 0
GYE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PAJ
1 - 3
GYE
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GYE
3 - 1
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ULS
1 - 2
GYE
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 0
GIM
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |