Changwon City vs Gyeongju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YAN
0 - 5
CHA
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
DAE
4 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHU
61%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GYE
0 - 1
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GYE
0 - 1
YAN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
YAN
3 - 2
GYE
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GYE
1 - 1
JEO
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 1
GYE
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |