Changwon City vs Chungju Hummel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 3
DAE
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GKB
3 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
GAN
1 - 3
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUS
0 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chungju Hummel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 3
CHU
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 0
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHU
2 - 1
SUW
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GOY
1 - 1
CHU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
CHU
2 - 7
GAN
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |