Changwon City vs Chungju Hummel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
GOY
2 - 1
CHA
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GAN
2 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHE
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
GIM
4 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
BUS
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chungju Hummel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CHU
0 - 1
GKB
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DAE
0 - 0
CHU
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CHU
1 - 1
YON
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MOK
2 - 2
CHU
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SUW
2 - 1
CHU
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |