Changwon City vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
HAN
2 - 1
CHA
5%
13%
82%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOK
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
GAN
0 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
BUS
4 - 0
CHC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BUS
1 - 2
CHE
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DAE
2 - 0
BUS
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
MOK
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
GIM
19%
25%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |