Changwon City vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
GYE
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
YON
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOK
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
DAE
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ULS
3 - 1
BUS
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 1
GYE
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
YON
1 - 1
BUS
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 0
MOK
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
GAN
0 - 0
BUS
60%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |