Changwon City vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MOK
0 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 0
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
GAN
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
ULS
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
YON
2 - 1
BUS
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 0
DAE
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GYE
3 - 2
BUS
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ULS
4 - 0
BUS
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
MOK
1 - 2
BUS
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |