Changwon City vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GAN
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
YON
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOK
1 - 3
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ULS
2 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
BUS
2 - 0
GIM
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BUS
2 - 2
GYE
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
GOY
1 - 0
BUS
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BUS
3 - 2
GYE
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BUS
2 - 2
GKB
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |