Changle Jingangtui vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changle Jingangtui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 2
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
BIT
8%
12%
81%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 2
HBF
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
HBF
1 - 2
GUA
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HBF
1 - 0
QYF
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
HBF
11%
17%
72%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GGZ
1 - 0
HBF
11%
17%
72%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | -1 |