Change vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 4
ASB
11%
23%
66%
|
19 | 70 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
REI
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
AUR
1 - 3
CHA
72%
16%
11%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCL
0 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 0
RAO
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
PAU
1 - 0
VAL
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 0
ANG
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |