Change vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAB
1 - 0
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 3
VAN
9%
17%
74%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
SAB
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 2
CHA
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 0
VOL
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHO
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
LPS
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 3
STP
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |