Changchun Yatai vs Shanghái Port analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
10º
66
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 82% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 18% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
CHA
33%
24%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
WFC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHI
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
JOH
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
SJF
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
TIT
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
SHA
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
7 - 2
MEI
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |