Changchun Yatai vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
12º
26
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 2
CHA
4%
10%
86%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
HEN
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
QYI
2 - 2
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
QIN
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
QIN
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QIN
3 - 1
TIT
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 1
BEI
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |