Changchun Yatai vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
11º
34
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
QYI
2 - 2
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
BEI
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 2
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SJF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
SHA
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 3
WFC
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 2
HEN
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIT
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
HEN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |