Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou Yiyao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
HEN
1 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
TIT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
QIN
2 - 1
CHA
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 6
BEI
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
SHE
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou Yiyao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GUI
4 - 1
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
30%
23%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 1
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
68%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |