Changchun Yatai vs Chengdu Blades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JIA
0 - 1
CHA
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHA
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
3 - 1
QIN
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 2
TIT
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |